If you haven’t been following Monster Energy Supercross you’d probably think chaos would be unpredictable. But if you have, you know exactly what predictable chaos is. For example, the 250SX East class has been reliably crazy this year, and the last few 450SX races have featured some pretty exciting battles up front. So how’d these trends play out in St. Louis? Let’s dive into Saturday Night Live to find out.

To say Ryan Dungey has been good this year would be like saying Donald Trump isn’t too shabby at getting headlines. Dungey has been absolutely sensational, especially in the last three races, where Ken Roczen has really brought the heat. In St. Louis the action got especially hot too, with Roczen momentarily getting by Dungey for the lead, only to have Dungey take it back immediately and go on to take the checkers. Dungey was super pumped after the race, so much so he even snuck up behind Roger DeCoster and give him a little burst of champagne spray before pointing the bottle away. He’s got plenty of reasons to be happy too, one of them being if he puts just two more points on Roczen next week the title is his. “We’re aware, we know where we’re at, but at the same time we need to keep our focus on one race at a time,” Dungey told us right after the champagne incident. “We know where we’re at and we just need to give our best every night instead of letting our focus get too far ahead. That takes away from our performance on race night.”

Roczen was no doubt unhappy about going down while chasing Ryan Dungey and throwing away his shot at the win, but you’ve got to give Roczen credit for keeping his head up, recovering, and going back on the offensive to get Anderson with just a few turns remaining to finish second. Anderson was extremely unhappy and felt Broc Tickle, who is just getting back into the swing of racing after being sidelined for most of the season with injury, had gotten in his way as the two were lapping him right at the end. But did he? Tickle doesn’t think so. “I thought maybe I was in the way, but I came back and watched video and I wasn’t in the way at all,” Tickle said to Racer X’s Steve Matthes later.

Justin Brayton had a good night going in St. Louis. He took second behind Ken Roczen in his heat race and was running third in the 450SX main, but Anderson came in hot on him, taking him out. “I guess it’s typical,” Brayton told Steve Matthes afterward. It’s getting really old. It’s just stupid. The guy doesn’t know how to race, and that’s what’s so frustrating. He’s done it to me a few times now and he’s done it to other people. I’ve had enough, I don’t know if I speak for other people. It was right before a triple and he clearly ran me completely off the track. What if I go for the jump? It’s so frustrating. I’m not the kind of guy who will hold someone up, if I know clearly he’s faster I’m not going to sit there and hold him up. We had such a big gap over fifth I literally could have just putted around and gotten fourth.”

If you’re a Chad Reed fan, and who isn’t these days, you’ve got a big reason to be happy. St. Louis was the 200th supercross start for the veteran, and when he was being interviewed about it on the track floor he said he’d like to break the 220 mark before retiring, which means we’ll get to see him race for at least another two seasons.

Justin Bogle has quietly been putting in some good rides after missing several races early in the season with injury. The trend continued in St. Louis, where Bogle got a decent start, worked his way around Marvin Musquin and Josh Grant to eventually finish fourth, a career best for the GEICO Honda rider.

Not the greatest of nights for CycleTrader.com/Rock River Yamaha. The team’s two lead riders, Tommy Hahn (450SX) and Luke Renzland (250SX) weren’t in their respective mains. St. Louis was Hahn’s first race back after sustaining a medial sprain in his right foot. He qualified fourteenth, but ended up sitting out the races due to foot pain. At this time the team is unsure whether or not he’ll be back next week. Renzland raced, but bad starts did him in. In the LCQ he got to within inches of Gradie Featherstone for the final transfer spot and would have taken it if there was one more turn. But, there wasn’t and Featherstone narrowly avoided what would have certainly been a hard pass.

Speaking of frustration, James Stewart has got to be feeling it in spades right now. Stewart attempted to race after hurting his ankle last week in Indianapolis, but re-aggravated a back injury during practice and was experiencing back spasms. He tried to race his heat, but things didn’t go great. A line change from Stewart ended up with Weston Peick getting into the back of him, leaving Stewart on the ground. Stewart rode the rest of the heat, but the back spasms continued back in the pits and that was it.

“I wasn’t even close enough to pass the guy [Stewart]” Peick told us afterward. “The main line in the rhythm was triple-double-triple and he had done that the lap before. I was committed to the triple and he checked up and went double. I was already committed and he swept right while I was going inside on the triple and I just landed right into the back of him. I didn’t really hit him that hard I don’t think, but he ended up going down. It’s hard to judge stuff like that because everyone is going so damn fast. You don’t have time to cruise the track and wait. It’s risky, we’re all trying to get in the main from the heat. That move wasn’t intentional, I wasn’t planning on passing him. Hopefully he’s all right. It’s just one of those racing incidents nobody can really control.”

Malcolm Stewart had a frustrating night too, crashing three times in the main event. The first time was after he stalled in the sand section, the second was by himself in a corner, and he crashed again near the very end of the race. Still, it could have been way worse—you’d expect someone who crashed three times to finish worse than eighth. Stewart even maintained the points lead, but just barely. He now leads Plessinger by one point after coming into St. Louis with a ten-point cushion.

How about Plessinger? Since getting his first win last week in Indianapolis the Yamalube/Star Racing/Yamaha rider has had all eyes on him, especially on race day, where cameras were following him around almost all the time, including morning track walk. Some riders might feel overwhelmed by the attention and pressure, but Plessinger didn’t seem bothered—he overcame a not so great start and took second. “It doesn’t really have an effect on me. I just try to play it cool and sometimes I act funny for the camera. They’re there, so why not? I like getting filmed. It’s still pretty new to me, I didn’t really have it coming up through the amateur ranks and last year all the cameras were on Cooper [Webb]. This year it’s new to me and I’m having fun with it.”

And as far as being just one point out of the lead, well, that didn’t seem to bother him much either. “It’s not really in my mind that much. I mean, it’s certainly back there, but next week is just another race. I’m not going to think about it. I’m not letting it put pressure on me, I’m just going to go in and do what I did the last two weekends.”

We knew someone was going to win more than one 250SX race sooner or later, and it finally happened tonight when Jeremy Martin took the checkers. It was a nice way to come back after crashing out last week, and even though the championship is out of his reach, Martin can take comfort in the fact that at the moment he holds twice as many wins as anyone else in the class. “It feels good. I feel like this is where we should have been all along, every weekend,” Martin said. “It’s just been a bummer and some bad luck. We’ve had five different winners this year, so to get my second one, and be the first one to do it, it’s good.”

If you’re wondering who Cedric Soubeyras is, wonder no more. He’s an accomplished French rider who saved up money earned from racing internationally to fund a season of 250SX in America and has been qualifying for races regularly. He didn’t have the best results today—he finished 21st—but he nearly didn’t even get to race at all. The Frenchman blew his engine during practice and was set to pack it up for the day when LeBigUSA.com’s Stephan Legrand talked to Mitch Payton, who then offered up the use of a spare engine from Monster Energy/Pro Circuit/Kawasaki. Unfortunately a crash with Martin Davalos on the start caused throttle cable damage that would later force a DNF, but Soubeyras was still in good spirits afterward, telling us riding with a Pro Circuit engine has been a dream of his for years. He wasn’t at liberty to discuss details, but he did tell us it was the strongest 250 engine he’d ever ridden in his life.

Some of the best entertainment of the night came during the KTM Jr. SX Challenge when Jayce Cashdollar and Zy Floyd went 1-2and proceeded to celebrate by doing their best impression of Aaron Plessinger and Malcolm Stewart by busting some serious dance moves for the crowd for a good two minutes. So great was their enthusiasm two track officials had to rush over and divert traffic to ensure the two didn’t get hit by any other racers coming over the finish line. Hey, when you just won a supercross race and your last name is Cashdollar, you gotta bust out the money moves!

Eli Tomac and Jake Weimer got this one going by stacking it up in the first turn, while Ryan Dungey jumped out to the lead with Ken Roczen right behind him. For the third straight weekend a brawl for the lead ensued. Dungey was faster in some sections, with Roczen inching back up on him in others. The gap was probably literally less than a second for multiple laps, although Roczen had very few actual moments where he could have thrown a wheel in on Dungey cleanly. That changed with eleven laps to go when Roczen pulled up next to Dungey in a rhythm lane and made the pass, only to have Dungey knife underneath him and take it right back! The crowed was going absolutely crazy. Unfortunately the battle came to an end when Roczen lost the front right after the finish line and went down, giving up second to Jason Anderson in the process. But Roczen wasn't done yet. After remounting and regrouping he put another charge in to get right back up on Anderson with about three to go. The two went at it and even started closing back up on Dungey a little bit, but it looked like Anderson was going to hang on for second. But then, with just a few turns left Roczen got Anderson back for second. Afterward Anderson was clearly unhappy with Broc Tickle, who Anderson felt held him up and cost him second place. Tickle disagreed, and later even showed Racer X's Steve Matthes video to prove it. Dungey took the win, followed by Roczen, Anderson, Justin Bogle, and Trey Canard.

Jeremy Martin narrowly edged Gannon Audette for the holeshot in this one and started taking off. Malcolm Stewart immediately got into second, but then stalled it in the sand, causing Matt Bisceglia and Gannon Audette to go down. Then Stewart crashed while trying to get going! Aaron Plessinger, who’d started in about tenth, took full advantage and sliced his way up to third and went to work on Shane McElrath while Stewart was back in about eighth. A few laps later Stewart went down again as he was blasting out of the sand section, smashing into some Tuff Blocks. He remounted in about fourteenth and slashed his way up to fifth or sixth before crashing again all by himself with just a lap and a half left. Meanwhile, Plessinger had gotten around McElrath and was going after Martin, who had about a six-second gap with eight to go. But as the laps wore on, the gap actually grew, and Martin would win his second race of the season. A terrible race for Stewart, but not total disaster. He kept his head down and minimized the damage you’d expect three crashes to inflict, finishing eighth, and kept the championship lead by a single point, thanks to gaining a position when Tyler Bowers went down on the last lap after colliding with a downed Jimmy Albertson. Plessinger and McElrath rounded out the podium, with RJ Hampshire putting in an excellent ride for fourth, followed by Gannon Audette.